BTC/USD
BTC/USD price chart
Not available from the connected data sources. No historical line is drawn without dated observations.
BTC/USD forecast by horizon
| Horizon | Median change | Baseline median | Historical error range |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 completed daily closes ahead | 0% | 77,180.4200 | 75,393.94563 – 79,009.22523 Observed band coverage: 87.3% · Mean absolute error: 952.23786 · 126 completed forecasts |
| 5 completed daily closes ahead | 0% | 77,180.4200 | 73,603.51977 – 80,931.14636 Observed band coverage: 88.9% · Mean absolute error: 2,191.95841 · 126 completed forecasts |
| 22 completed daily closes ahead | 0% | 77,180.4200 | 67,325.03103 – 88,478.49217 Observed band coverage: 84.1% · Mean absolute error: 5,018.40659 · 126 completed forecasts |
- Latest completed daily UTC close
- 2026-10-30
- Unit
- USD / BTC
- Model
- crypto-daily-random-walk-v1
- Training observations
- 252
This random-walk benchmark keeps the latest completed daily UTC close as its median and claims no directional edge. Each range uses the 80th percentile of absolute log-price moves at that horizon in the preceding 252 daily closes.
The 80% historical calibration target is not a guaranteed probability. Backtests use only information available at each origin; their 126 completed forecasts overlap and are not independent trials. These venue-specific daily closes are not live executable quotes. The estimates are statistical calculations, not AI-generated price targets or investment advice.
Rolling-origin backtest: 2026-06-05 – 2026-10-30
Indicator readings, not recommendations to buy or sell.
For information only. Not investment advice. Forecasts are model estimates and may be wrong.
Analyst summary
Data and published coverage for BTC/USD